Can Justin Amash Win Reelection As An Independent?
On July 4, Rep. Justin Amash declared his “independence” from the Republican Party, and he now plans to run for reelection as an independent (or maybe he’ll pursue a presidential bid). And although...
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Voters Who Think The Economy Is The Country’s Biggest Problem Are Pretty...
President Trump could be in trouble. A lot could still change between now and November, but historically, the strength of the economy is correlated with the electoral strength of the incumbent...
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Why A Surge In Republican Voter Registration Might Not Mean A Surge In Trump...
In the past couple of weeks, key battleground states like Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania have received a lot of attention because Republicans have seen a spike in voter registration numbers....
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Since The Capitol Attack, Trump’s Approval Rating Has Plummeted At A Record Rate
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll(s) of the week In the wake of the Jan. 6 assault on the U.S. Capitol, public opinion is souring quickly on President Trump as he enters the...
View ArticlePolitics Podcast: Americans Are More Independent But Just As Partisan
By Galen Druke, Nate Silver, Sarah Frostenson and Geoffrey Skelley, Galen Druke, Nate Silver, Sarah Frostenson and Geoffrey Skelley, Galen Druke, Nate Silver, Sarah Frostenson and Geoffrey Skelley and...
View ArticleWhy Support For Gun Control Hasn’t Led To New Legislation
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses why public support for gun control measures hasn’t translated into new laws. They also talk about why the number of...
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Few Americans Who Identify As Independent Are Actually Independent. That’s...
If you’ve ever been in a conversation about politics, you’ve probably heard someone say, “I don’t like either party” or “Politics is just so ugly these days.” That person also may have claimed not to...
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How The Republican Party Could Splinter (Or Stay The Same)
The GOP is in a bit of disarray. While most of its members continue to display an unwavering loyalty to former President Donald Trump, a smaller but prominent group of more than 100 Republicans are...
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What’s Behind Biden’s Declining Approval Rating
Last week, President Biden’s agenda took a big step forward with the U.S. Senate’s overwhelmingly bipartisan vote to pass his $1.1 trillion infrastructure package. This first step toward a deal — the...
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Why Has Biden’s Approval Rating Gotten So Low So Quickly?
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): President Biden’s approval ratings are underwater — 49.2 percent...
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Biden Has Lost Support Across All Groups Of Americans — But Especially...
Over his first nine months in office, President Biden has lost support among Americans of all stripes — men and women, Black voters and white voters, Zoomers and Baby Boomers. Even Democrats writ large...
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Could Manchin Actually Leave The Democratic Party?
UPDATE (December 20, 2021, 8:00 a.m.): Sen. Joe Manchin’s decision on Sunday to scuttle the Build Back Better Act has many Democrats angry and has renewed speculation that Manchin could bolt from the...
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Why Kyrsten Sinema Left The Democratic Party
Senate Why Kyrsten Sinema Left The Democratic Party By Geoffrey Skelley Dec. 9, 2022, at 6:01 PM Sen. Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona joins a short list of Senate party switchers. ALEX WONG / GETTY IMAGES...
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No Labels Is Chasing A Fantasy
2024 Election No Labels Is Chasing A Fantasy What the group misunderstands about American politics. By Geoffrey Skelley Jun. 30, 2023, at 6:00 AM ABC News Photo Illustration There’s not a lot of love...
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Why A Third-Party Candidate Might Help Trump — And Spoil The Election For Biden
2024 Election Why A Third-Party Candidate Might Help Trump — And Spoil The Election For Biden By Geoffrey Skelley Jul. 13, 2023, at 6:00 AM Will third-party efforts throw a rematch between President...
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